The Big Picture

At the end of this 20-day exercise, I have successfully analysed all 543 constituencies, though not in as much detail as I would have liked. The basis for the analysis, as I mentioned in my first post has been media reports, past performance of parties and what you could call gut feeling based on the overall trend. The primary sources for this were myneta.info, elections.in, various media reports available through google news search.There has been no personal bias or preference attached to the predictions. If it were, the results would altogether be different, and probably 100% wrong. What I expected out of this exercise is to gain an understanding of the political scenario in the whole country and to an extent the key factors in each state. I must say it has been an eye-opener and even though I know my opinions on politics matter to nobody, it sure was a good educative time pass.

Ok, let me cut the crap and get to the chase. Here's the summary table at the end of all the analysis.

State	NDA	Others	UPA	Seats
ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS	1			1
ARUNACHAL PRADESH	1		1	2
ASSAM	6	4	4	14
BIHAR	21	5	14	40
CHANDIGARH	1			1
CHHATTISGARH	10		1	11
DADRA AND NAGAR HAVELI	1			1
DAMAN AND DIU	1			1
DELHI	6	1		7
GOA	1		1	2
GUJARAT	24		2	26
HARYANA	6	2	2	10
HIMACHAL PRADESH	3		1	4
JAMMU AND KASHMIR	1	3	2	6
JHARKHAND	10	4		14
KARNATAKA	14	3	11	28
KERALA	1	10	9	20
LAKSHADWEEP			1	1
MADHYA PRADESH	26		3	29
MAHARASHTRA	33	4	11	48
MANIPUR	1		1	2
MEGHALAYA	1	1		2
MIZORAM	1			1
NAGALAND	1			1
ORISSA	3	15	3	21
PUDUCHERRY	1			1
PUNJAB	11		2	13
RAJASTHAN	23	1	1	25
SEEMANDHRA	10	15		25
SIKKIM		1		1
TAMIL NADU	12	27		39
TELANGANA	4	8	5	17
TRIPURA		2		2
UTTAR PRADESH	44	31	5	80
UTTARAKHAND	4		1	5
WEST BENGAL	5	32	5	42
Grand Total	288	169	86	543

The NDA and UPA candidate classifications were made based on what is in the public domain(Read Wikipedia) and doesn't take into account potential NDA/UPA candidates.

If we look at the leading parties nationally based on my predictions, this is what you're looking at

Party	Seats
BJP	234
INC	66
AITC	23
ADMK	20
BSP	18
BJD	15
YSRCP	15
Shiv Sena	13
SP	13
TDP	13
RJD	10
CPI(M)	9
SAD	8
TRS	7
CPM	7
DMK	6
Independent	6
NCP	5
JD(U)	5
PMK	5
RSP	3
JD(S)	3
PWPI	2
IUML	2
LJP	2
RLD	2
DMDK	2
AAP	2
AGP	2
JVM(P)	2
JKPDP	2
KMDK	1
SDF	1
VCK	1
INLD	1
KEC(M)	1
NPF	1
UDF	1
NPP	1
MNS	1
AIUDF	1
CPI	1
Puthiya Tamilagam	1
SWP	1
JBSP	1
AIMIM	1
All India N.R. Congress	1
UDP	1
BVA	1
MDMK	1
JKN	1
HJC	1

So here's my prediction on the predictions. NDA's share could be exaggerated in some states(WB, Tamil Nadu, Rajasthan to name a few) , and underestimated in some states(Seemandhra, Karnataka, UP to name a few). So overall, BJP's count of 234 and NDA's count of 288 will be +/- 10 is what I feel.

I have revised the Tamil Nadu predictions after more feedback and inputs since this was the first state I analysed. Yet I have given ADMK only 20 which is still a low count compared to all the exit polls. But if my number ends up closer tomorrow, nothing like it.

So there you go. Fingers crossed for counting day! Click here for a list of mouth-watering contests to track tomorrow and here for the consolidated list of constituency-wise predictions.

Rajasthan

Having swept the Assembly elections in 2013 convincingly, BJP is the clear leader in this state and Vasundhara Raje has expressed confidence that BJP should be able to win all 25 seats. This will be difficult to achieve, especially in the light of Jaswant Singh being sidelined by the party and him contesting as an independent from Barmer. There are a few Congress Union Ministers too who will be a tough challenge.

The interesting contests in this state -

• Barmer - After being denied a ticket by BJP, Jaswant Singh who left Darjeeling is contesting as an Independent in his home town Barmer. State CM Vasundhara Raje has made every move possible to stop him from eating into BJP's Rajput votes. It should be a close contest, but Jaswant should prevail
• Ajmer - Sachin Pilot, the 36-year old sitting MP from Ajmer and a Union Minister, is seeking a second term for his development agenda. But RSS-backed BJP candidate Sanwarlal Jat is banking on the popularity of his party's prime ministerial candidate Narendra Modi and their performance in the assembly elections in Ajmer where they won 8 out of 8 seats in Ajmer. One of the promising faces of Congress may have to lose out due to the anti-incumbency factor.
• Dausa -  BJP has fielded former DGP Harish Chandra Meena, while fighting against him is his own brother and Congress nominee Namo Narain Meena. There's another Meena in the fray too. Kirori Lal Meena of the National People's Party is a popular face here and could be a potential winner too. This has historically been Congress's stronghold from 1991 to 2004 when Rajesh Pilot and Sachin Pilot held the constituency.
• Jaipur Rural - Even though a first timer, sportsman-turned-politician Rajyavardhan Singh Rathore has gained ground fast in this constituency where he faces Congress's veteran former union minister C P Joshi, who has shifted from his earlier constituency Bhilwara to Jaipur rural this time
• Jhunjhunu - A triangular contest is on the cards here as BJP's only woman candidate from the state, Santosh Ahlawat faces Congress's Rajbala Ola and Independent Rajkumar Sharma. BJP faces the ire of the Rajputs due to their snubbing of Jaswant Singh. Olas have held this seat for the last 5 terms though the margins have not always been large.
• Sikar - This is the only seat I am predicting as a win for Congress. Since BJP rebel Subhash Maharia is contesting here with the support of Jaswant Singh, BJP votes are expected to split, giving Congress's Pratab Singh Jat an edge.
• Tonk-Sawai Madho - Mohammed Azharuddin who left his Moradabad seat and is contesting for Congress here, but doesn't stand much of a chance as he is considered an outsider and Meenas are the dominant community here, and their vote will hold sway over Muslim votes

Congress Congress will be a close contender in Bhilwara, where the Youth Congress president, Ashok Chandna is contesting and in Nagaur, where Dr. Jyoti Mirdha, a Congress sitting MP who is well respected in her constituency is contesting

My constituency-wise predictions are as follows

No	State	Constituency	Predicted Winner	Party	Other Top 2 Candidate	Party
1	RAJASTHAN	AJMER	Sanwar Lal Jat	BJP	Sachin Pilot	INC
2	RAJASTHAN	ALWAR	Chand Nath	BJP	Bhanwar Jitendra Singh	INC
3	RAJASTHAN	BANSWARA	Manshankar Ninama	BJP	Smt. Resham Malviya	INC
4	RAJASTHAN	BARMER	Jaswant Singh	Independent	Col. Sona Ram	BJP
5	RAJASTHAN	BHARATPUR	Bahadur Singh	BJP	Dr.Suresh Jatav	INC
6	RAJASTHAN	BHILWARA	Subhash Baheria	BJP	Ashok Chandna	INC
7	RAJASTHAN	BIKANER	Arjun Ram Meghwal	BJP	Er. Shankar Pannu	INC
8	RAJASTHAN	CHITTORGARH	Chandra Prakash Joshi	BJP	Girija Vyas	INC
9	RAJASTHAN	CHURU	Rahul Kaswan	BJP	Pratap Singh	INC
10	RAJASTHAN	DAUSA	Harish Chandra Meena	BJP	Kirori Lal Meena	NPEP
11	RAJASTHAN	GANGANAGAR	Nihalchand Meghwal	BJP	Bhanwarlal Meghwal	INC
12	RAJASTHAN	JAIPUR	Ramcharan Bohara	BJP	Dr. Mahesh Joshi	INC
13	RAJASTHAN	JAIPUR RURAL	Rajyavardhan Singh Rathore	BJP	Dr. C.P Joshi	INC
14	RAJASTHAN	JALORE	Devji Patel	BJP	Anjana Udai Lal	INC
15	RAJASTHAN	JHALAWAR-BARAN	Dushyant Singh	BJP	Pramod Bhaya	INC
16	RAJASTHAN	JHUNJHUNU	Smt. Santosh Ahlawat	BJP	Smt. Rajbala Ola	INC
17	RAJASTHAN	JODHPUR	Gajendrasingh Shekhawat	BJP	Smt. Chandresh Kumari	INC
18	RAJASTHAN	KARAULI-DHOLPUR	Manoj Rajoria	BJP	Lakkhiram	INC
19	RAJASTHAN	KOTA	Om Birla	BJP	Ijyaraj Singh	INC
20	RAJASTHAN	NAGAUR	Chhotu Ram Chaudhary	BJP	Dr. Jyoti Mirdha	INC
21	RAJASTHAN	PALI	P P Choudhary	BJP	Munni	INC
22	RAJASTHAN	RAJSAMAND	Hari Om Singh Rathore	BJP	Gopal Singh Shekhawat	INC
23	RAJASTHAN	SIKAR	Pratap Singh Jat	INC	Subhash Maharia	Independent
24	RAJASTHAN	TONK-SAWAI MADHO	Sukhbir Singh Jaunapuria	BJP	Mohammed Azharuddin	INC
25	RAJASTHAN	UDAIPUR	Arjunlal Meena	BJP	Raghuvir Singh	INC

The seats tally prediction is as follows

Party	Seats
BJP	23
INC	1
Independent	1

West Bengal

Will Didi succeed in her quest to be a king maker in the government formation? Her target of 30+ seats was projected by many opinion polls to be very feasible. She is making every effort in the state to ensure the Left bastions are smothered, and the few BJP and Congress seats are snatched back.  The state intelligence branch of West Bengal Police has predicted only 18-22 seats for the Trinamool while BJP could win 4. This could be called an underestimation by many, but they were accurate in the 2011 assembly when they predicted 180-185 seats for TMC and they ended up winning 184.

The strongest undercurrent in the state is the use of violence by Trinamool party workers to keep the Left supporters away from the booths. Another allegation is the booth rigging across many rural areas not monitored by the CRPF. Whether such dirty tactics along with her image in the state will ensure an even stronger vote share in favor of Trinamool remains to be seen. Both Trinamool and BJP have fielded many stars to add more flavor to the polls this year. Whether these stars succeed is another highlight of the elections in WB.

Some of the interesting contests in the state will be in the following constituencies-

• Darjeeling - One of the most interesting contests in the state as BJP's S.S. Ahluwalia is taking on Indian soccer star Bhaichung Bhutia fielded by Trinamool in a strategic move to wrest this seat from BJP which won this seat comfortably in 2009 fielding Jaswant Singh. The BJP candidate is supported by Gorkha Janamukti Morcha (GJM) who are against Bhutia and Trinamool. The demand for Gorkhaland though hasn't been backed strongly by the BJP in their manifesto and campaigns, which could cause a setback.
• Bankura - Basudeb Acharya has held this seat since 1980 and should ideally not lose to Moon Moon Sen of Trinamool Congress for whom her daughters Riya and Raima have campaigned enthusiastically to add the glamor quotient. But Moon Moon has been gaining a lot of ground and could cause a major upset here
• Serampore - One of the most watched constituencies of the state, the craze for Bappi da is expected to help BJP wrest this seat from Trinamool's Kalyan Banerjee, but it will not be easy
• Ghatal - Dev, a young and popular Bengali film star is contesting on a Trinamool ticket to wrest this seat from the Left. Even the CPM leaders have conceded defeat as sitting MP, CPI's veteran leader Gurudas Dasgupta retired from politics before the elections. CPI's Santosh Rana is seen as no match to Dev
• Asansol - Always a CPM stronghold this time it is witnessing a fierce battle from BJP's singer-turned politician Babul Supriyo who has gained a lot of ground. But TMC is desperate to ensure BJP doesn't gain much vote share
• Bongaon - The Matua caste will play the decisive role here. Both Trinamool and BJP have fielded candidates who have a strong base in that community and are expected to be the main contestants here. BJP's K.D.Biswas is the secretary of the Matua Mahasangh and is considered quite influential. Since Bongaon is also close to the Bangladesh border, Modi's speech about treating infiltration more strictly is also expected to play a role
• Barasat - Interesting contest here as magician P.C.Sorcar junior is fielded by BJP to take on the might of Trinamool's sitting MP Dr. Kakali Ghoshdostidar. Whether he will do some magic remains to be seen. Dr. Mortoza Hossain from AIFB is the other candidate in the fray
• Jangipur - Abhijit Mukherjee, son of Pranab Mukherjee is the sitting MP here and is expected to face a tough challenge from strong muslim leaders fielded by other parties. Though he is confident of winning, Trinamool's Nurul Islam and CPM's Muzzafar Hossain are potential threats. Nurul had won in 2009 from Basirhat and is contesting from here in a strategic move by Mamata
• Howrah - It should be a comfortable win for ex-football captain Prasun Banerjee from Trinamool, who won here in a 2013 bypoll defeating Sridip Bhattacharya. But the police intelligence report has predicted a loss for him.
• Dum Dum - It is a triangular contest here between three strong candidates. Sitting MP Saugata Roy of Trinamool will find it tough to retain this seat against Tapan Sikdar of BJP, who has won here twice in the 90s and CPM's Asim Dasgupta who was the state's finance minister in its 20-year rule
• Jadavpur - It is from this constituency that a young Mamata Banerjee defeated Somnath Chaterjee in 1984. Though this constituency has sprung surprises often, it seems to be advantage AITC here for a second term as the rural population is in support of Mamata. Also of note is that Trinamool candidate Sugata Bose is a Harvard history professor and Netaji Subhas Chandra Bose's grandnephew
• Joynagar - It is unclear who has the edge here, as sitting MP Tarun Mandal who won as an Independent in 2009 is contesting on a SUCI ticket this year, while Subhas Naskar will look to wrest back this seat for RSP which had held this seat from 1980 to 2004. Trinamool has been accused of rigging and violence in this constituency as well, and this could also very well affect the outcome
• Kolkata Uttar - It is expected to be a close contest here between 4 candidates - Trinamool sitting MP Sudip Bandyopadhyay, Congress veteran Somen Mitra BJP's state president Rahul Sinha and CPM's KMC Opposition leader Rupa Bagchi. But Trinamool has the edge as it controls all seven assembly segments and 38 of the 60 KMC wards
• Purulia - Will be a triangular contest between AIFB's sitting MP Narahari Mahato, Trinamool's Mriganka Mahato and Congress's Nepal Mahata. Congress's candidate is seen as a good challenger because of his local support and his role in bringing steel giant Jindal to this constituency. It will be tough for him to battle Congress's anti-incumbency

My constituency-wise predictions are as follows-

No	Constituency	Predicted Winner	Party	Other Top 2 Candidate	Party
1	ALIPURDUARS	Monohar Tirkey	RSP	Dasharath Tirkey	AITC
2	ARAMBAGH	Saktimohan Malik	CPM	Madhusudan Bag	BJP
3	ASANSOL	Babul Supriyo	BJP	Bansa Gopal Choudhury	CPM
4	BAHARAMPUR	Adhir Ranjan Chowdhury	INC	Pramothes Mukherjee	RSP
5	BALURGHAT	Bimalendu Sarkar	RSP	Biswapriya Roy Choudhury	BJP
6	BANGAON	Kapil Krishna Thakur	AITC	K.D.Biswas	BJP
7	BANKURA	Basudeb Acharia	CPM	Moon Moon Sen	AITC
8	BARASAT	Dr. Kakali Ghoshdostidar	AITC	P.C.Sorcar Junior	BJP
9	BARDHAMAN PURBA	Sunil Kumar Mondal	AITC	Iswar Chandra Das	CPM
10	BARDHAMAN DURGAPUR	Dr. Mamtaz Sanghamita	AITC	Sk. Saidul Haque	CPM
11	BARRACKPUR	Dinesh Trivedi	AITC	Subhashini Ali	CPM
12	BASIRHAT	Idris Ali	AITC	Nurul Huda	CPI
13	BIRBHUM	Satabdi Roy	AITC	Joy Banerjee	BJP
14	BISHNUPUR	Susmita Bauri	CPM	Saumitra Khan	AITC
15	BOLPUR	Ramchandra Dome	CPM	Anupam Hazra	AITC
16	COOCHBEHAR	Renuka Sinha	AITC	Dipak Kumar Roy	AIFB
17	DARJEELING	S.S. Ahluwalia	BJP	Bhaichung Bhutia	AITC
18	DIAMOND HARBOUR	Abhishek Banerjee	AITC	Dr. Abul Hasnat	CPM
19	DUM DUM	Tapan Sikdar	BJP	Saugata Roy	AITC
20	GHATAL	Adhikari Deepak (Dev)	AITC	Santosh Rana	CPI
21	HOOGHLY	Dr. Ratna De (Nag)	AITC	Dr. Chandan Mitra	BJP
22	HOWRAH	Prasun Banerjee	AITC	Sridip Bhattacharya	CPM
23	JADAVPUR	Sugata Bose	AITC	Sujan Chakraborty	CPM
24	JALPAIGURI	Mahendra Kumar Roy	CPM	Satyalal Sarkar	BJP
25	JANGIPUR	Sk Nurul Islam	AITC	Abhijeet Mukherjee	INC
26	JAYNAGAR	Pratima Mondal	AITC	Subhas Naskar	RSP
27	JHARGRAM	Dr. Pulin Bihari Baske	CPM	Uma Saren	AITC
28	KANTHI	Adhikari Sisir Kumar	AITC	Sinha Tapas	CPM
29	KOLKATA DAKHSIN	Subrata Bakshi	AITC	Nandini Mukherjee	CPM
30	KOLKATA UTTAR	Sudip Bandyopadhyay	AITC	Rahul (Biswajit) Sinha	BJP
31	KRISHNANAGAR	Satya Brata Mookherjee	BJP	Tapas Paul	AITC
32	MALDAHA DAKSHIN	Abu Hasem Khan Chowdhury	INC	Md Moazzem Hossain	AITC
33	MALDAHA UTTAR	Smt. Mausam Noor	INC	Soumitra Roy	AITC
34	MATHURAPUR	Choudhury Mohan Jatua	AITC	Rinku Naskar	CPM
35	MEDINIPUR	Prabodh Panda	CPI	Sandhya Roy	AITC
36	MURSHIDABAD	Badarudzza Khan	CPM	Abdul Mannan Hossain	INC
37	PURULIA	Nepal Mahata	INC	Narahari Mahato	AIFB
38	RAIGANJ	Smt. Deepa Dasmunshi	INC	Mohammed Salim	CPM
39	RANAGHAT	Tapas Mandal	AITC	Archana Biswas	CPM
40	SERAMPORE	Bappi Lahiri	BJP	Kalyan Banerjee	AITC
41	TAMLUK	Adhikari Suvendu	AITC	Badsha Alam	BJP
42	ULUBERIA	Sultan Ahmed	AITC	Sabir Uddin Molla	CPM

The seats tally prediction is as follows

Party	Seats
AITC	22
BJP	5
CPI	1
CPM	7
INC	5
RSP	2

Uttar Pradesh

Called a psephologist's nightmare, UP is always difficult to predict. So it is this year as well. Most opinion polls and now, the exit polls too put BJP as the leading party with at least 45 votes. As per my analysis, they can get a maximum of 45 votes because SP and BSP are still going strong in constituencies with their core support. But there are the two biggest battles of the country - Modi vs Kejriwal in Varanasi and Rahul Gandhi vs Smriti Irani vs Kumar Vishwas in Amethi. An upset in any of these have the potential to become international headlines. Only May 16 will tell.

Observations on the most interesting constituencies-

• Varanasi - The biggest battle of the country this year. Narendra Modi's announcement from here was on expected lines and should comfortably win from here, though  Kejri and his workers have campaigned really hard. Pulling off a surprise here is near impossible, but you never know what the UP voter thinks.
• Amethi - Rahul, having visited the booths of the constituency on polling day, created a flutter in the media that the Congress is nervous about winning this bastion of theirs. Could be the definitive seat of the year if Smriti Irani or Kumar Vishwas manage to wrest this stronghold from Congress. But most indications seem to tell "Not yet". The increased voter turnout(55% compared 42% in 2009) could be a sign of more anti-Congress votes, but they may not be enough to upstage Rahul
• Muzaffarnagar - It is appalling that both BJP and BSP have fielded members who had a role in the riots - Sanjeev Ballian and Qadir Rana in this constituency. Rana has complained to EC about bogus voting which is in favor of BJP. It is not really clear how the voters would vote here, and another important factor is that the voter turnout was 70%. Reports indicate that BJP stands to gain the most if Muslim votes get split, but it will be an unfortunate result.
• Pilibhit - Maneka Gandhi vacated her Aonla seat to constituency to escape the anger of the locals for lack of development there. She is expected to face a tough battle from SP's Budhsena Verma, but will clear the line thanks to the enormoust support for Modi in this town
• Sultanpur - Varun Gandhi has also vacated his constituency in Pilighit where he won after an inflammatory speech he made. Now, he is contesting in Sultanpur and calling himself the Sultan of Sultanpur, and is expected widely to win comfortably
• Faizabad - Home to Ayodhya, which is 5km away from Faizabad city, Modi's rally here became controversial for having used a picture of Ram. In the wake of some clashes that took place in 2012, and the perceived irresponsible attitude of the SP government, BJP looks to be the front-runner here
• Farrukhabad - It will be an interesting contest here for foreign minister Salman Khurshid, who is facing a major anti-incumbency problem which could see even Muslim votes go away from him to either BSP or BJP. It will be a triangular contest between the three parties
• Ghaziabad - It's the controversy king vs controversy queen in this constituency. BJP's V.K.Singh should be able to win against AAP's Shazia Ilmi
• Mathura - Interesting contest between Hema Malini and RLD chief Ajit Singh's son Jayant. Though Hema Malini hasn't struck the right chord through her speeches, the Modi wave is expected to go in her favor in this constituency where even loyal Jats are seen to be deserting Jayant Choudhary
• Mirzapur - Having lost by a small margin in 2009, BSP is expected to win this time from Mirzapur, a neighbouring constituency of Varanasi. BSP's Dhananjay Singh, who won from Jaunpur in 2009 faced many criminal charges and was dropped from the party this year and is contesting as an independent. This is only expected to help BSP as he will snatch some Kshatriya votes of the opponents
• Fatehpur Sikri - RLD leader Amar Singh decided to contest from this constituency in an attempt to woo Jat votes and has also brought in many Bollywood celebs to campaign for him. But BSP's Seema Upadhyay seems to be the strongest contender
• Rampur - Noor Bano is the widow of Rampur's Nawab and will pose a tough fight to BJP's Kumar Sarvesh Singh in this constituency which was won in 2009 by Mohammed Azharuddin
• Kaiserganj - This constituency could return to BJP for the first time after 1991 due to its candidate Brij Bhushan Sharan Singh who was earlier with SP, which is the dominant force here
• Firozabad - S.P.Singh Baghel, who defected from BSP to BJP has earned the wrath of Maya, who has issued a dictat to her supporters to do everything possible to defeat this traitor. Baghel, actually is one of the frontrunners in this Samajwadi Party bastion. The cross-voting could help SP retain this seat
• Gonda - 5-time MP Beni Prasad Verma will face a tougher challenge this year as the Brahmin votes in this constituency will be split between him and Kirti Vardhan Singh of BJP. Muslim votes are also going to be divided among the other contestants, making this a rare Congress vs BJP battle in the state
• Dhaurahra - BJP's Rekha is banking on a sympathy vote to see her through on a seat which came to her after the death of her husband Arun Kumar- a former block pramukh. In fact as per "The Indian Republic", she apparently doesn’t even speak much at rallies, she just folds her hands and cries. Her campaign managers, despite realising the immense value of the sympathy factor, wish their candidate would say a few words every now and then. “The Modi wave will work, but it would be good for the candidate to communicate with voters”, says one exasperated party worker. He also lets in that every time this has been conveyed to Rekha, she has responded with more tears.
• Etawah - Mulayam Singh Yadav's home constituency, but there has been a lot of public resentment against SP, so the candidate here has literally been pleading for votes and Mulayam is asking the people to save his respect. Whether they will remains to be seen

Apart from these, some high profile candidates who should register easy wins are Sonia Gandhi from Rae Bareli, Uma Bharti from Jhansi, Mulayam Singh Yadav from both Mainpuri and Azamgarh, Murli Manohar Joshi from Kanpur, Ajit Singh from Baghpat(not so sure)

My predictions for the 80 constituencies. Upfront disclaimer: This is the state where I predict my accuracy to be the lowest. Anything can happen in UP

No	Constituency	Predicted Winner	Party	Other Top 2 Candidate	Party
1	AGRA	Narayan Singh	BSP	Dr. Ramshankar Katheria	BJP
2	AKBARPUR	Devendra Singh Bhole	BJP	Anil Shukla Warsi	BSP
3	ALIGARH	Satish Kumar Goutam	BJP	Dr. Arvind Kumar Singh	BSP
4	ALLAHABAD	Shyama Charan Gupta	BJP	Nand Gopal Gupta Nandi	INC
5	AMBEDKAR NAGAR	Rakesh Pandey	BSP	Hariom	BJP
6	AMETHI	Rahul Gandhi	INC	Smriti Irani	BJP
7	AMROHA	Kanwar Singh Tanwar	BJP	Farhat Hasan	BSP
8	AONLA	Dharmendra Kumar	BJP	Kunwar Sarvraj Singh	SP
9	AZAMGARH	Mulayam Singh Yadav	SP	Ramakant Yadav	BJP
10	BADAUN	Dharmendra Yadav	SP	Akmal Khan Alias Chaman	BSP
11	BAGHPAT	Ajit Singh	RLD	Satpal Singh	BJP
12	BAHRAICH	Sadhvi Savitri Bai Foole	BJP	Comando Kamal Kishor	INC
13	BALLIA	Neeraj Shekhar	SP	Bharat Singh	BJP
14	BANDA	Bhairon Prasad Mishra	BJP	R. K. Singh Patel	BSP
15	BANSGAON	Kamlesh Paswan	BJP	Sadal Prasad	BSP
16	BARABANKI	P. L. Punia	INC	Kamla Prasad Rawat	BSP
17	BAREILLY	Santosh Gangwar	BJP	Praveen Singh Aron	INC
18	BASTI	Ram Prasad Chaudhary	BSP	Harish Chandra	BJP
19	BHADOHI	Virendra Singh	BJP	Rakesh Dhar Tripathi	BSP
20	BIJNOR	Jaya Prada Nahata	RLD	Kunwar Bhartendra	BJP
21	BULANDSHAHR	Dr. Bhola Singh	BJP	Kamlesh	SP
22	CHANDAULI	Anil Kumar Maurya	BSP	Ramkishun	SP
23	DEORIA	Kalraj Mishra	BJP	Niyaj Ahmad	BSP
24	DHAURAHRA	Kuwar Jitin Prasad	INC	Rekha	BJP
25	DOMARIYAGANJ	Jagdambika Pal	BJP	Muhammad Muqeem	BSP
26	ETAH	Rajveer Singh	BJP	Devendra Singh Yadav	SP
27	ETAWAH	Ashok Kumar Doharey	BJP	Premdas Kateriya	SP
28	FAIZABAD	Lallu Singh	BJP	Jitendra Kumar Singh	BSP
29	FARRUKHABAD	Salman Khurshid	INC	Jaiveer Singh	BSP
30	FATEHPUR	Niranjan Jyoti	BJP	Afzal Siddiqui	BSP
31	FATEHPUR SIKRI	Ms Seema Upadhyay	BSP	Amar Singh	RLD
32	FIROZABAD	Akshay Yadav	SP	S.P. Singh Baghel	BJP
33	GAUTAM BUDHHA NAGAR	Satish Kumar	BSP	Dr. Mahesh Sharma	BJP
34	GHAZIABAD	General V.K. Singh	BJP	Shazia Ilmi	AAP
35	GHAZIPUR	Smt Shivkanya Kushwaha	SP	Manoj Sinha	BJP
36	GHOSI	Dara Singh Chauhan	BSP	Mukhtar Ansari	QED
37	GONDA	Kirti Vardhan Singh	BJP	Beni Prasad Verma	INC
38	GORAKHPUR	Adityanath	BJP	Ram Bhual Nishad	BSP
39	HAMIRPUR	Kunwar Pushpendra Singh Chandel	BJP	Rakesh Kumar Goswami	BSP
40	HARDOI	Usha Verma	SP	Anshul Verma	BJP
41	HATHRAS	Manoj Kumar Soni	BSP	Rajesh Kumar Diwaker	BJP
42	JALAUN	Bhanu Pratap Singh Verma	BJP	Brijlal Khabri	BSP
43	JAUNPUR	Subhash Pandey	BSP	Krishna Pratap	BJP
44	JHANSI	Uma Bharati	BJP	Anuradha Sharma	BSP
45	KAIRANA	Kanwar Hassan	BSP	Hukum Singh	BJP
46	KAISERGANJ	Brij Bhusan Sharan Singh	BJP	Vinod Kumar Alias Pandit Singh	SP
47	KANNAUJ	Dimple Yadav	SP	Subrat Pathak	BJP
48	KANPUR	Dr. Murali Manohar Joshi	BJP	Sriprakash Jaiswal	INC
49	KAUSHAMBI	Shailendra Kumar	SP	Vinod Kumar Sonkar	BJP
50	KHERI	Ajay Kumar	BJP	Zafarali Naqvi	INC
51	KUSHI NAGAR	Rajesh Pandey Urf Guddu	BJP	Kunwar Ratanjit Pratap Narain Singh	INC
52	LALGANJ	Neelam	BJP	Dr. Baliram	BSP
53	LUCKNOW	Rajnath Singh	BJP	Prof. Rita Bahuguna Joshi	INC
54	MACHHLISHAHR	Bholanath Alias B.P. Saroj	BSP	Tufani	SP
55	MAHARAJGANJ	Pankaj	BJP	Harsh Vardhan	INC
56	MAINPURI	Mulayam Singh Yadav	SP	Shatrughan Singh Chauhan	BJP
57	MATHURA	Hema Malini	BJP	Jayant Choudhary	RLD
58	MEERUT	Rajendra Aggarwal	BJP	Ms. Nagma	INC
59	MIRZAPUR	Samundra Bind	BSP	Surendra Singh Patel	SP
60	MISRIKH	Anju Bala	BJP	Ashok Kumar Rawat	BSP
61	MOHANLALGANJ	R.K Chaudhary	BSP	Sushila Saroj	SP
62	MORADABAD	Kunwar Sarvesh Singh	BJP	Begum Noor Bano	INC
63	MUZAFFARNAGAR	Dr. Sanjeev Balyan	BJP	Qadir Rana	BSP
64	NAGINA	Girish Chandra Jatav	BSP	Yashvir Singh	SP
65	PHULPUR	Kapil Muni Karwariya	BSP	Dharam Raj Singh Patel	SP
66	PILIBHIT	Maneka Gandhi	BJP	Budhsen Verma	SP
67	PRATAPGARH	Pramod Kumar Singh Patel	SP	Asif Nizamuddin Siddique	BSP
68	RAE BARELI	Sonia Gandhi	INC	Ajay Agrawal	BJP
69	RAMPUR	Naseer Ahmad Khan	SP	Nawab Kazim Ali Khan	INC
70	ROBERTSGANJ	Chhotelal	BJP	Pakaudi Lal Kol	SP
71	SAHARANPUR	Raghav Lakhanpal	BJP	Jagdish Singh Rana	BSP
72	SALEMPUR	Ravi Shanker Singh	BSP	Dr.Bhola Pandey	INC
73	SAMBHAL	Satyapal Singh	BJP	Aqeel-Ur-Rehman Khan	BSP
74	SANT KABIR NAGAR	Sharad Tripathi	BJP	Rajaram Nishad	PECP
75	SHAHJAHANPUR	Mithilesh Kumar	SP	Umed Singh Kashyap	BSP
76	SHRAWASTI	Atiq Ahmad	SP	Vinay Kumar Pandey	INC
77	SITAPUR	Kaiser Jahan	BSP	Rajesh Verma	BJP
78	SULTANPUR	Varun Gandhi	BJP	Ameeta Singh	INC
79	UNNAO	Brajesh Pathak	BSP	Annu Tandon	INC
80	VARANASI	Narendra Modi	BJP	Arvind Kejriwal	AAP

The seats prediction is as follows

Party	Seats
BJP	42
BSP	18
INC	5
RLD	2
SP	13